CMS forms average vs real Step 2 CK scores
Based on 717 real score reports. CMS forms average correlates with the final score (r = 0.58), although individual results vary widely.
The lookup shows a group average. The main predictor uses all of your assessments and their timing.
Each dot is one real report. Hover or tap a dot to see that person's full test list. Correlation with the final score: r = 0.58 · Reports: 717.
| CMS forms average | Average Step 2 | Median | Reports |
|---|---|---|---|
| <70% | 245 | 245 | 41 |
| 70–74% | 248 | 248 | 70 |
| 75–79% | 255 | 254 | 150 |
| 80–84% | 258 | 259 | 228 |
| 85–89% | 265 | 266 | 192 |
| 90%+ | 267 | 268 | 36 |
How CMS forms fit into Step 2 prep
These reports can measure score prediction, but they cannot measure how much students learned from doing the forms. US MD and DO reports that included a CMS average showed a mean practice-score change of +21.6 points; reports without a CMS average or mention showed +21.0 points (n = 177 vs 342). Non-reporting does not establish that CMS forms were not used, so this comparison cannot isolate their learning effect. CMS average adds little to a prediction once NBME scores are known. That does not make the forms less useful for studying. Many students use CMS forms to practice NBME test-writing logic, including which clinical details change the answer and why distractors are wrong. See the score-improvement analysis.
Common questions
What CMS forms average do you need for a 250 on Step 2?
Students who scored 250 or higher averaged about 82%, and those at 265 or higher averaged about 84%. Individual results vary widely, so these averages should not be used as cutoffs.
Is CMS forms average a good predictor of the real score?
It correlates with the real score (r = 0.58), although practice exams predict better. The main predictor can include this percentage alongside NBME or UWSA scores.
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Charts & guides
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